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I can see it passing the 10 million mark this year so yeah it'll pass the GameGear. I think the Vita can squeeze out 15-18 million LTD with a break down of:

  • NA-    3-3.5 Million
  • EU-    5-6 Million
  • JP-     7-8.5 Million
BTW that NA figure is if Sony doesn't discontinue it and releases the 2000 model as well as Vita TV.

PSN: extremeM

PlayStation Vita Japanese Software Sales (Media Create Physical/ Famitsu Digital)