Can Vita Outsell Sega's GameGear LTD?

[Nirvana_Nut85]

Michael-5 said:

Nirvana_Nut85 said:

As YOY sales of the Playstation Vita begin to drop  into unforseen levels and with the absolute lack or interest for that matter of Sony themselves in developing any significant software for the platform,

Vita is selling better in 2014 then in 2013. Sold 30k this week in Japan alone, last year it sold only 14k. Plus WW sales ending the week of January 4th show Vita selling 140k (53% better then last years 90k).

So if Vita sold over 3 million last year, and is currently at 7 million, that pretty much guarentees 10 million. All it would have to do is still be on the market in 2015, and not drop over 66% in sales to top the GameGear.

From what I read Vita is selling about as well as Gamecube did, so 20 million is very likely. That's more then eny Sega (except the Genesis) managed to sell.

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Also GameGear sold 10.62 million, that 11 million on Wikipedia is an approximation after rounding.

Yes, the Final Fantasy X bump has provided some temporary help but I do not forsee that lasting too long and should lead to sales going back down to normal levels like the Wii U.

Your assumption is that it will move 3 million this year with less compelling software than the previous 2 years (minus a few gems for Japan). In my mind I do not understand that logic as software sells hardware.

I believe it is far more plausible that Vita will maintain a 30% decline again for this year and can see Sony discontinuing it  mid 2015 and going back to the drawing board. There is no point in keeping it afloat after that point. Therefore it is a reasobnable estimate to believe it will sell less than GameGear.

As for selling on par with GameCube, can you link those YoY numbers as I am interested to see that.