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You are all forgetting that there are still no uber-hyped AAA games out for the PS3 yet and less so that appeal even a little to the Japanese. So there is no competition from other games yet.
So unless you bought the console for the BR player, or are not rich enough to buy it then i believe many PS3 owners will buy it only because of the lack of alternatives...
Lifetime sales may reach 1m especially if the bundle is not phased out soon after launch. (would you buy the consloe on its own or with the game for the same price?)



PSN ID: T_Gears

End of 2009 ltd sales:

Wii = 67-68m

X360 = 38-39m

PS3 = 34-35m

Prediction: The PS3 will surpass the 360 on weekly sales after it drops to $299 on all regular weeks (no big releases).