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Wii U had a slightly steeper drop than I expected. Based on these sales I think Wii U will at best reach 65 000 systems world wide this week, but a more conservative estimate would be 50 000-55 000 systems. My Q1 estimate since the end of December has been atleast 75 000 systems sold each week, for a total minimum of 900 000 systems in this quarter alone. Even though I still won't rule out Q1 sales of atleast 900 000 systems, it now seems to be quite a close call.

For Nintendo to go above 60 000 this week, Super Mario 3D World needs to show some very strong legs in the west. There are some indications that suggests the game really does have strong legs.

Also don't forget what impact the retail release of Wii Fit U might have on US-sales. Even though we will only see 2 days of Wii Fit U sales for that week, it will still be interesting to see how those 50 000 pre-orders of Wii Fit U will affect hardware sales.

I won't rule out 65 000 systems yet, but 75 000 is miles away with the latest figures from Japan.