| 007BondAgent said: Anyways, on topic Launch sales are only brought by the hardcore gamers, after the few 4 months, that's when the real test begins. |
I think consoles at launch are less about being purchased by hardcore, more about those who want the latest tech, and that's actually a pretty large audience. Your average consumer rushes out to buy the latest iPad once it's released. Your average consumer is also the Call of Duty fan, which most of those players have very few games outside of the FPS genre.
I don't think of the average Call of Duty fan, the one who has little else other than FPS games as a hardcore gamer. I think of them somewhat above casual gamers. They play more, but they're still the casual gamer type as they don't expand their genre of choice by much if at all. The hardcore gamer, those that like many different varieties of game genres, might have some get consoles near launch, but many of them are going to be the ones who wait a year or two for good games or more interesting games to come out. The hardcore gamer is sure to have a backlog they can't play through while waiting for good games to come out on next gen consoles.
But, what you said applies all the same. Once the people who buy stuff day one are done with, then sales should start dropping.
I think when the PS4 does drop in sales, it's going to be no less than 100,000 a week during the slow months but won't be too long before it's selling 150,000+ again. I mean Gamestop did say after launch, most of their stock is reserved until after March. Depending on how high demand is, who can say how long it'll be at 100,000 a week in sales before the system starts getting that winter sales boost in September.
