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erikguy said:
no MGS game has ever sold 1 million in Japan. And according to another article I read, the popularity of the series is actually decreasing in japan.

Japan is the only territory in which MGS sales have reamined consistent. According to this very site, MGS2 sold ~850k in Japan, and MGS3 sold ~10k more, finishing at ~860k.

OT:  I think this prediction is insane, but if any game deserves to break 1 million in Japan, it's MGS4. :P