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Depends if they can keep up 1 million a month supply, they get the system together that fast, it's just the chip production that could hold it back, although yields should be improving all the time and they weren't bad to begin with.

If production is fine and they aren't holding too much stock for Japan, then the 1st/2nd vgchartz update early February, if not, then the update immediately BEFORE the japan release.

 

EDIT: just to let you know, at least one retailer in the UK has a pre-order wait till march of standard PS4.



PS, PS2, Gameboy Advance, PS3, PSP, PS4, Xbox One