benji232 said:
Seece said:
benji232 said:
Seece said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:
Seece said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:
Seece said:
KingdomHeartsFan said:
The real question is what would have to happen for 3DS not to outsell the PSP.
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For it to continue its current trajectory.
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DS was supported for 7 years...its only been 3 years for the 3DS and its over half way to beating the PSP, if it stays on this trajectory its gonna easily pass the PSP.
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In its 7th (full year) Nintendo shipped 6.5m DS's. That's inline with the estimates Pezus posted up there.
Also, it's down YOY. With Pokemon and 2DS. So no the current trajectory does not suggest it'll outsell PSP.
Why don't you bother doing some research instead of just believing it will?
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Its not down, 3DS sold more in 2013 than it did in 2012, "why don't you bother doing some research?"
http://www.vgchartz.com/yearly/
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It'll be adjusted.
You don't ship less every Q yet end up selling more YOY.
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2012 |
2013 |
| Q1 |
2.1 |
1.24 |
| Q2 |
1.86 |
1.4 |
| Q3 |
3.2 |
2.49 |
| Q4 |
7.65 |
(7 - 8m max)
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Sell through is around 6.7m (actually might be less than that) for Q4, so shipments should be around 7.5m.
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2 words: Over shipping.
You can't combine 1Q of 1 FY with 3Q of another FY due to various factors. I can guarantee you that FY14 shipment figures will be higher then FY13 shipment figures. Which is what you should compare.
If you're comparing sell-through data, then use a normal year. If your comparing shipment data, then use fiscal years.
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I'm using what they shipped IN the year. Stock doesn't time travel you know? Fact is if they overshipped last holiday, that would only have a knock on effect in Q1, you can't say it's up despite Q2/Q3 and Q4 being down too.
You can guarantee FY14 will be above FY13? How?
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Q1 down due to over shipping in Q4 2012. Q2 due to the decline in Japan, not America or Europe. Q3 was down for obvious reasons. 3DS XL got launched in August which boosted sales tremendously and led to higher then usual sales. With that being said, let's say we use your way of calculating how much 3ds sold in a year. That would put it down 2.03M for the year so far. I can easily see a 2m+ increase YoY in Q4 of 2013 considering that October was one of it's biggest months ever in terms of sales (launch of 2DS+Pokemon) and November being up a lot YoY in the US (200K+). It definetly wouldn't surprise me to see shipments of 9-10M for Q4 2013. But that's just my take on things, I guess we'll find out in 18 days who's right :).
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lol what?! We already know sell through is around 6.5m, how do you think Nintendo can convice retailers to hang onto an extra 3.5m 3DS's??
Facts are facts dude. It sold 1.7m in Japan this Q, 2.2m in US, and probably the same in Europe. For 9 - 10m you're talking 3.3m in each region .....
