If SmashU and MK8 have the same impact that Brawl and WiiKart did on hardware sales, it won't help the WiiU's long term prospects in the slightest.
That year (2008) was the Wii's best year, and it saw a 50% increase in yearly console sales. If the WiiU has a 50% increase, that would put it's 2014 sales at 4.5 million units, and it would never see those kinds of numbers again. It's LTD sales would be 9.7 million in that case; 2 years in, the Gamecube was at 14 million units globally, its' own Mario Kart and Smash games doing nothing to help it gain market share.
And as an added bonus, this will be the first entry in the series that will also be releasing on Nintendo's latest handheld at the same time. Thus it has to deal with the issue of cannibalization in a way that none of it's predecessors did, on the worst selling console Nintendo has made since the Virtual Boy. I doubt your friends are a special case in that regard.
In that light, it's hard to expect much from SmashU in terms of reversing the WiiU's fortunes.
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