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@Benga: Yakuza sold less than MGS (740k and 680k). Other games are more casual than MGS and becouse current PS3 userbase isn't very casual MGS may sell better than those titles.
I think you agree becouse you actually haven't made straightforward conclusion from those examples and put MGS higher than DW, HSG and PES. I acutally agree with your number (I would put 700k for lifetime but 400k for first week is good).