My Wii U estimation(near future, instal base, short)...

[eyeofcore]

drake4 said:

eyeofcore said:

As you saw latest Media Create Sales and how there is a trend of Wii U sales rising even though sadly VG Chartz still hasn't gave their rough estimation for last two weeks thus making an accurate estimation or to be more correct the expectaction for Wii U in near future when comes to total units sold. In my estimation I also try to estimate how much units will be sold when that or that game is released in that or that month also if it will have an effect in the next month...

Wii U should by now be at 5 million units and by end of the year it should breach 5.5 million mark of total units sold from its launch last year.... By end of Janurary it should reach 6 million while by end of February will breach mark of 6.75 million units. March it should achieve at least 7.25 million without any major release, in case Mario Kart 8 is released then I expect at least to reach 7.75 to 8.5 million total units ...

I expect Wii U to reach an instal base of at least 12.5 million in worst case scenario and 18 million in best case scenario by end of 2014 as more high profile software is getting released on Wii U such as Donkey Kong Country: Tropical Freeze, Mario Kart 8, Super Smash Bros U, Bayonetta 2, Monolith Soft's X, Shin Megami Tensei X Fire Emblem, Hyrule Warriors(working title), Yarn Yoshi and more  upcoming exclusives being unveiled for 2014 release....

your basing this  success because wiiu had nice holiday in japan, its still bombing badly every where else in the word, and even GC managed similar numbers in japan durung the holidays with the ps2 being out, unlike this year where the wiiu is the only nextgen console in japan. and still GC is still tracking way ahead of the wiiu and with way better thirdparty support to boot.

I am not basing Wii U's my estimation on Wii U's recent success in Japan as you premuse and probably hope so  also you are just presume/assume that Wiii U is bombing outside of Japan which is not correct and Wii U sells considerably better than GameCube in Japan as we compare the second year.

Gamecube had better 3rd party support yet it did not result in sales and Wii U sells well compared to Gamecube when we see the amount of 3rd party support that Gamecube has over Wii U. Wii U by now should have 5 million units in one year one and half months which is 1(4th of Gamecube sales and Gamecube achieved in 5-6 years in its life time 20 million units. When we look at Wii U and compare it to Gamecube, Wii U looks like an anomaly.

You have the point yet you are going too doom and gloom into consoles 1st year, look at PlayStation 3... It rose from the ashes in much harder enviroment so Wii U with its problems should easily overcome them. Once the software sales are very good for Nintendo on Wii U then Nintendo might bite the bullet again and drop price to 250$ which is a magical bundle, then you will see Wii U fly off the shelf as it did does at some retailers that did holiday price cut.

Expect that price drop next holiday...