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People, especially Nintendo fans, are completely out of touch with reality.

It's not a matter of doom, and the Vita is probably doomed before the 3DS.

But there is a general video game crash coming according to all serious market prediction, and that's why even if the 3DS has shipped mildly the first two years, the dramatic fall in shipment the third year (a third of previous years) instead of continuing to grow, can mean it's loosing big appeal and might fail.

The problem contrary to the Vita, if that Nintendo is already failing with the Wii U, as the current course will be quasi impossible to reverse, again, according to classical trend, market, consumer behavior etc...rules.