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Seece said:
Ninjahound101 said:
Seece said:
Ninjahound101 said:
Seece said:
Ninjahound101 said:


They do estimates of those but NPD is about 75% accurate so the number i gave could be the right one, though all i did was give an estimate and either way VGC is less than 25K off

I have no idea about Xenoblade NPD figures though

Are you just making this stuff up? NPD is more accurate than that.

Judging by the evidence out there, I find it very difficult to believe Xenoblade is anywhere near 1m copies.

"NPD covers roughly 60-65% of the U.S. retailers.[7][8][9] It notably does not cover Toys R Us (since Oct 2007) and Sam's Club retailers, but it has covered Amazon since Nov 2007 and Walmart since Feb 2012.[10][11] Although, NPD does not track Toys R Us, they do estimate Toys R Us and other retailers' sales using various algorithms and estimations. In February 2008, the firm announced they will begin tracking online game subscriptions for PC sales data and Xbox Live online subscribers on a quarterly basis and then start gathering data from digital distribution later in 2008."

http://vgsales.wikia.com/wiki/NPD_Group

Pachter says that NPD is 85-90% accurate so 70% seems about right

800K is close to 1 million

Pachter says 90% so you say 70% seems about right?? Not to mention, you think it would work in Xenoblades favour, it works both ways, it could mean they over estimated sales rather than under.

But alas, I havn't seen any solid evidence other than Japan, so like I said, I find it very difficult to believe Xenoblade is anywhere near 1m.

It covers 60% and Pachter says they cover 90% so i too the mean minus pachters inaccuracy

I am not even talking about Xenoblade, i was talking about Mario 3D World, what brought Xenoblade into the discussion in the first place?

The game was very popular in Germany, sold out quickly as a gamestop exclusive and did well in Japan so 800K is believable(Just because you mentioned Xenoblade)

Seece don't twist things around 229K for 3D World in USA (Retail + Digital) seems like a fair estimate

Does it? How about remove 15k so it's 200k? Why are you assuming the inaccuracy is in its favour. Don't do that.

Ok that's simply stupid, since it covers 75%  which is below 100% that means that if they covered more stores the number will increase not decrease

if they were tracking over 100% then we should go down

plus since we have the official numbers from Nintendo (215K) which are the digital plus the NPD figure the numbers will simply increase, the larger the openning week the more inaccurate the NPD is so if this was pokemon and not Mario NPD could easily be 300K off, 15K in the favor of Mario is possible the opposite is NOT possible



bet with ash3336 he wins if Super Mario 3D World sells less than Mario Sunshine during the first three years, I win if 3D World outsells Sunshine's first 3 years. Loser get sig controlled for 3 months (punishment might change)

Do you doubt the WiiU? Do you believe that it won't match the GC?

Then come and accept this bet

Nintendo eShop USA sales ranking 2/12/2013 : http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=173615