When will PS3 Surpass Xbox360?

[rocketpig]

I don't think the PS3 will ever pass the 360 unless the PS3 suddenly becomes a hit in Japan and that is unlikely to happen. Japanese gamers appear to have turned a corner in their tastes and I don't see anything but the Wii selling in large numbers over there.

It will take until 2010 before Sony can become price competitive with the 360 and I think that will be far too little, far too late. They need to make an impact in holiday 2007 and I don't see Lair, Heavenly Sword, Uncharted, and GTA besting the 360s GTA, H3, Mass Effect, Lost Odyssey, Eternal Sonata, and Bioshock offerings especially when you factor in console price.

This is a very crucial time for all systems. This is the point where a purchase of one console is often a loss of a sale for another, permanently. Most people don't buy multiple consoles or if they do, they don't own all three. Since the Wii is handily winning every territory, this means the PS3 and 360 have to fight to get into peoples' living rooms.

I don't see the PS3 having an advantage in that category until 2008 and it's possible that the 360 will have a virtually insurmountable lead by that point.