Here's the deal. PS2 sold about 33% of it's total sales after its successor came out. That was after 6 years of life as the head console. PS3 has been around for 7 years as the main console. It only needs to sell 20% of its total sales post PS4 launch. I think that's highly doable. Just looking at it mathematically based on the past Sony generation it should make it.
But that's not all there is to it. There's also the fact that PS2 was $200 far less into its life cycle. PS3 JUST got to $200 and that's for an inferior model. Once we get to $100 for 12gb, $150 for 250gb, $200 for 500gb PS3 will keep selling a long while. Let's not forget the PS+ support and free online it will maintain (the only one out of the 4 systems games like Destiny will be releasing on) that will continue to give it a unique value in the market in the coming years. I think they'll end up at 105-110m easily.
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