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well it also depends on the game really... a Halo game price will go down slower than a bad rated game....

now if you want DR3 at 40 new I would say mid spring for sure... maybe earlier....

you have it at 49.99 on amazon cyber Monday today though http://www.amazon.com/Dead-Rising-3-Xbox-One/dp/B00FM5IY0Q/ref=sr_tr_sr_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1385988009&sr=8-1&keywords=dead+rising+3