PS4 and XBONE are in for the same drought as WiiU

[Zod95]

dark_gh0st_b0y said:

Zod95 said:

dark_gh0st_b0y said:
this is indeed going to happen, launch demand won't continue for long, Ps4 and XboxONE are also very expensive

hard-core gamers buy the consoles at launch, like they buy hard-core games, I predict Ps3/Xbox360 style of sales trend for Ps4 and XboxONE over the coming years

If that's so, why has the PS3 sold so little in 2006 and presented an ever growing yearly sales during 4 consecutive years? And something similar happened with X360, which had its sales peak in the 5th year. I think it's the opposite: hardcore consoles sell well during the entire generation while casual / alternative consoles like Wii may have a boost in the first 2 or 3 years but then begin to decay.

Growing yearly sales were because of the decreasing price along with more games

I agree that hardcore consoles sell well during the entire generation, that's why, even with a successful launch, there will be a steep decrease after the holidays (like core games sales have a steep decrease after launch), and a slow increase in the coming years, that's why i said Ps3/Xbox360 trend over the coming years

people declare Ps4/XboxONE god consoles and doom the WiiU, but is not the case

Ps4/XboxONE probably won't sell well after holidays and 2014 (very high price, only a few games)

WiiU is pretty hard to predict, could even take off once the price gets lower and more Nintendo games come out, largely depends on families really, they may miss the Wii fun they had and want to buy the new stuff when it gets cheaper?

a reason Wii had huge sales the first 2 years is the low price, so it is important, similar case for 3DS

so, doom and praise threads are pretty much pointless at this time

More games I think every console has along the time As for the price cuts, I don't believe so. The Wii had great sales without any price cut (2006-2008) and decreasing sales when it became cheaper and heavily bundled with games and accessories (2009-2013).

I doubt there will be a steep decrease (greater than the usual) after the holidays. In what basis do you claim that? Very high price can't be a factor simply because neither XOne nor PS4 have such prices. Remember X360 came at 400 euros (by now that would be around 500 euros) and PS3 came at 600 euros (by now that would be more than 700 euros). Now you have XOne for the same 500 euros (but Kinect is included) and PS4 for almost a half of PS3's launch price. Those are very high prices?! The "few games" thing will hardly be a factor too. It's true that PS4 and XOne came earlier than expected but the devs have rapidly shifted their resources to both consoles and none of them will be hard to work with (like the PS3 was) so I don't expect big delays in the games to come.

As for the god consoles vs the doomed Wii U, I understand who has that view. Wii U is likely to be like Wii in terms of life-cycle weekly market share: greater at the beginning, smaller at the middle of the generation and eventually an early death. So if the console is already low at the beginning, what can we expect about it's future? Miserable sales in the next 2 years? Residual sales after 3 or 4 years?