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Ye-no! I know, I know. Japan seemed to take a huge steeming dump on SM3DW, but NA seemed to take an alright liking to it. 240k plus opening (VGC numbers) doesn't seem all too bad. Especially when you compare it to SMG's opening of 520k+ and take into consideration that the Wii had a much larger userbase than the Wii U at the time. (For quite obvious reasons...) 

I would also like to point out that Japan seems to have a disdain for most 3D Mario games anyway, and basing this game's success over a FW number from Japan isn't very wise at all.

So I say no! No, SM3DW is not a steeming pile of flop. The kid still has some life in 'em. He has all of this Holiday to prove himself! Why don't you bullies pick on someone your own size? Something like the big flop that'll be Wii Fit U.