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If the numbers end up being out of expectations, all ms really has to do is release a kinect-less bundle for a hundred bucks less and bam, they'll pretty much have regained a ton of lost ground- there are millions of gamers who are waiting on this to happen.  
But for right now, it makes sense that the ps4 will outsell the xbox one until that happens.
It's simple economics. Lower price, more demand, more sales.

 

Ms just needs to understand that a ton of people just don't want the kinect.  The sooner they realize this, the sooner their sales will pick up.  

But who knows, we'll just have to wait a while until all the numbers get in.  Honestly, I think microsoft are just happy that the xbox one broke opening records held by its little brother, the x360.