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Given the recent announcement:
http://news.xbox.com/2013/11/xbox-xbox-one-momentum-announcement
http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/thread.php?id=172902&page=1

XB1 sold 1 million in 24 hours

Out of those 1 million sales,
Let's assume that

US + Canada : 600 K - 700 K

Others : 300 K - 400 K

let's also assume that this sales figures extrapolate to the future exactly like that...

In North America, roughly speaking

PS4 : 1000 K

XB1 : 600-700 K

This is a 30-40% deficit on XB1's account, impliying a 37-41 % NA market share for XB1. Again perfectly aligned with my original expectations (35-45% in NA).



Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates

Regional Analysis  (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe     => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 :  49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global     => XB1 :  32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%

Sales Estimations for 8th Generation Consoles

Next Gen Consoles Impressions and Estimates