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DD_Bwest said:

there would have to be SIGNIFICANT supply probblems for it to be that low.  its not going to be that bad

I think MS will do three two more shipments for US in the next five weeks...

Launch: 600k
2nd: 300k
3rd: 200k * that's when it will reach 1 million *

Can be early? Of couse... maybe 4 weeks but can be 5 weeks too.