Recent IGN seems to agree with my original predictions:
http://www.ign.com/articles/2013/11/20/which-next-gen-consoles-and-games-are-ign-readers-buying
Playstation 5 vs XBox Series Market Share Estimates
Regional Analysis (only MS and Sony Consoles)
Europe => XB1 : 23-24 % vs PS4 : 76-77%
N. America => XB1 : 49-52% vs PS4 : 48-51%
Global => XB1 : 32-34% vs PS4 : 66-68%