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fallen said:
bigjon said:
Last gen they overcame a year head start by the 360, a horrible 1st 18 months, and high cost (with little added value) to pass the 360. This gen. Same launch month. Cheaper console. Great start. No anomalies like the Wii to contend with (and leech casual sales and control of japan).  I mean I see no reason a person could go wrong with a XB1 purchase, but I see few reason why someone would purchase an XB1 over a PS4 (obviously the main thing is if you want to play one of their exclusives would be the main thing) Last gen the 360 got most of the mainstream gamers in NA and UK, Sony about everywhere else. I think due to the price and hype the PS4 come close to splitting these markets. I also see the PS4 dominiating Japan which last gen the Wii hurt it there alot.  I see WW the XB1 seeing slightly decreased console sales and in a twist it having a lower attach rate (seen a more of an all in one, who would buy a PS4 except to play games). I just think things could snowball a bit for Sony and being able to get a 55 to 60% market shart with the XB1 getting 30-35% and Wii U maybe 10 to 15%. That is WW. In NA and UK maybe like 40 to 45 for MS 35 to 40 for PS4 and Wii U gets the scraps.  All in all this gen I see total Console sales way down, but the PS4+XB1 will be = or > than PS3+360, of course the different is the Wii U gets 20 to 30 mil compared to over 100 mil the Wii got.

Err, actually 360 has outsold PS3 worldwide (just google for their recent respective 80 million sold announcements, Sony's was 3 weeks after Microsoft's)

 

Also, your points are valid, but do note the PS3 had an uncontested market all to itself in Japan to skew the worldwide sales (which wont change with PS4, but still makes the PS3 accomplishment of almost catching 360 come with a caveat, meaning 360 outsold PS3 to a greater degree everywhere outside Japan).

 

MS has made it difficult for themselves but it's a long generation. a simple price cut to 399 for Xbox One at any time for example would change a lot of things. They'll also have the big guns of Halo and Gears waiting in the wings. Sony has big guns of Uncharted and god of bore waiting, but imo those franchises are not as big to the mainstream (despite their popularity on forums)


If xboxone get a price cut be sure Sony will responds



PS4 - over 100 millions let's say 120m
Xbox One - 70m
Wii U - 25m

Vita - 15m if it will not get Final Fantasy Kingdoms Heart and Monster Hunter 20m otherwise
3DS - 80m