| bigjon said: Last gen they overcame a year head start by the 360, a horrible 1st 18 months, and high cost (with little added value) to pass the 360. This gen. Same launch month. Cheaper console. Great start. No anomalies like the Wii to contend with (and leech casual sales and control of japan). I mean I see no reason a person could go wrong with a XB1 purchase, but I see few reason why someone would purchase an XB1 over a PS4 (obviously the main thing is if you want to play one of their exclusives would be the main thing) Last gen the 360 got most of the mainstream gamers in NA and UK, Sony about everywhere else. I think due to the price and hype the PS4 come close to splitting these markets. I also see the PS4 dominiating Japan which last gen the Wii hurt it there alot. I see WW the XB1 seeing slightly decreased console sales and in a twist it having a lower attach rate (seen a more of an all in one, who would buy a PS4 except to play games). I just think things could snowball a bit for Sony and being able to get a 55 to 60% market shart with the XB1 getting 30-35% and Wii U maybe 10 to 15%. That is WW. In NA and UK maybe like 40 to 45 for MS 35 to 40 for PS4 and Wii U gets the scraps. All in all this gen I see total Console sales way down, but the PS4+XB1 will be = or > than PS3+360, of course the different is the Wii U gets 20 to 30 mil compared to over 100 mil the Wii got. |
First of all, while it is true that the 360 had a year head start, it did not launch any better than the ps3 did. It struggled big time with reliability issues for the first three years. The truth is that they both had pretty terrible launches which left the door open for the wii.
secondly, to say it was more expensive without much added benefit is a bit crazy when you think of how much money sony was loosing. Theyw ere losing like 300 bucks a console when that thing launched. Also, the cheapest blu ray players at the time were over a thousand bucks, so the blu ray capabilities of the ps3 were a huge benefit.
as far aswho will win this gen, it is way too early to say. Right now, it looks pretty likely that ps4 will win, but there is always the chance of the game being changed. Future exclusives, hardware redesigns, new accessories like kinect, there are lots of potential game changers so I wouldnt say anything is set in stone. The x1 isnt even out yet and we havent even seen how either console will perform once demand has been satisfied.
The most I could say is right now the ps4 is off to a great start and looks like to be dominant early on.
