i very much doubt that many ps2 owners will go with the ps3. because ps2 owners who haven't yet bought a next gen system are mostly casuals. therefore they won't be buying a 300,400, 500 dollar system. the casuals that play really simple games will all go to the wii and so a lot of those ps2 owners will probably get a wii when it drops down to like 150 bucks which is probably what they bought the ps2 for.
then theres the casuals who mostly just got ps2 for gta and a couple other games. they'll probably mostly go with a 360 becuase it also has gta and is cheaper. these kind of people don't have much brand loyalty cuz they aren't gamers. they are casuals. if the 360 stays at least 50 bucks cheaper than the 40gb ps3 then most of these people will probably go to 360. i would guess that at least 50% of these undecided ps2 owners will go to wii while a little over half of the rest will go to the 360.
people aren't gonna suddenly be interested in the ps3 because sony now decided that they think the ps3 will sell much better. cuz they already thought it was gonna blow the other systems away when it launched. it ain't gonna happen. it will continue to gain some momentum and eventually start having decent sales. but it won't ever be popular.
end of '08 predictions: wii - 43 million, 360 - 25 million, ps3 - 20 million
Games I've beat recently: Super Mario Galaxy, Knights of the Old Republic, Shadow of the Collossus
Proud owner of wii, gamecube, xbox, ps2, dreamcast, n64, snes, genesis, 3DO, nes, atari, intellivision, unisonic tournament 2000, and gameboy
