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tbone51 said:
the_dengle said:

My projections show about 3.5 million.

I suppose that would be not counting Vita TV.


The US imo will be down from last year cuz it had COD+AC and it was the first christmas. Even though there will be cheaper deals now, i think the new launches will shadow the vita, unlike 3DS which has a 2DS model just for the right price range ($99-$109) and LoZ which is highly rated (unlike other games)

My projections are entirely based on math, not my own opinions -- which is why I don't call them predictions.

Basically, the week ending Nov 9 was week 45 of the year out of 52. On average, roughly 64% of video game consoles are sold in weeks 1 through 45, while the remaining 36% are sold in weeks 46 through 52.

Factor the Vita's YTD sales in and you get about 3.35 million. By no means is this reliable for accuracy. For instance, about 10 weeks ago this same method projected year-end sales of about 12 million consoles for the 3DS, while it now shows roughly 15 million. It's just some numbers I enjoy playing around with.