Raven722 on 12 November 2013
Predictions this far out always rely on current trends and can never really take into account what moves will be made by either company in the future. Price drops or something added to the package for the same price. The outstanding success of a single title. Multiple successful titles in rapid succession or a lack of successful titles. Failures to deliver on services or great new services introduced. Hardware failure rates. Great marketing campaigns or bad ones. The list goes on. I always look at predictions like this and take away only that the ones making the prediction feel that one side will be that kind of successful over another only if things stay as they are. We've all seen how things change.
