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zorg1000 said:

Kinect released in 2010 yet 2011 was a stronger year for 360. Also PS3 peaked in 2011 not 2010.

Ur not factoring in that 3DS has room for price cuts as well. Its been over 2 years since the original 3DS had a price cut and the XL has yet to see its first price cut. 2014 will be the first full year of having a $129 sku and 2015 could easily see price cuts for all 3 models to $99/129/149. Also there are games like Smash Bros, Kirby, Yoshis New Island, Mario 3D Land 2, Pokemon Z, Pokemon gen 3 remake, Pokemon gen 7, Dragon Quest 11, Monster Hunter 5, Final Fantasy remakes/spinoffs, Majoras Mask 3D, Advance Wars, Metroid, Donkey Kong, Kid Icarus sequel, Resident Evil sequel, Kingdom Hearts sequel and other games that could potentially release from 2014-2016 that could cause sales to increase.


First, not all of those games will push systems. Secondly, those games won't push as much as their first outing on the system.

Let's look at the facts though - the 3DS needs to sell close to 10M from October to December or sales will down YoY.