Gamerace said:
Oyvoyvoyv said:
What I believe is WCS for Ps3, is if this happens:
1. Third parties lose too much money, almost all of them go to Wii and start developing.
2. Microsoft shuts down X360, because it is losing to much money. They have vulnerated this before.
3. Ps3 now has a much smaller userbase, and is higher priced to develop for, in reality, it is doomed.
About the 1 console, that won't happen. Microsoft has put heaps of money into their gaming division, I doubt they will leave totally that fast.
Sony has a superb brandname with the Playstation. There's no way they will leave.
The only reason I see those two leaving, is if 2-3 other companies also join in and make consoles.
Therefore, the only "realistic" solution, is that Nintendo goes bankrupt. They can't afford to lose money, so if they start losing money, they have to go out.
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This is why I predict a forth (and possibly fifth) major player will join the market. MS & Sony have left themselves vunerable and Wii has cracked the mass market nut. If say Apple for example puts out what is basically a Wii HD and markets it as the cool thing (successfully) with graphics close to 360s (but not necessarily as good) developers will happily port all their Wii games over and all their HD games over (with a few exceptions) to this new system. Gamers finally get the best of both worlds. Image CoD4 on a Wii-esque system. What could be better? If such system is successful, and could be just on Wii crumbs (as Nintendo still can't supply adequately), then MS & Sony would either: A) not be able to respond and lose marketshare, and be seen as 'old' tech despite slight graphic superiority, and lose money C) Cut prices drastically to remain competitive in this new order and lose money B) Be forced to launch a 'next' gen system far earlier than they'd like and lose billions on this generation (and even previous for MS) D) Give up |
If fourth major player would enter market then the earliest time they could enter is holiday 2010. Why? Because developing a console and making factory contracts takes a long time and also they would have to secure some game support. Game developers won't even port Wii games unless they think console can be a success. Remember, even Apple has had a failed console before (Apple Pippin). If console would be released without any games then it would be doomed to fail. Because we haven't heard many rumours about fourth player then it's at least 2-3 years away.
