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Vita will rise in Japan for sure this holiday season after disaster japanese year-end sales in 2012.
But PS3 already peaked. Games will sell, but hardware - nothing special. And Lightning Returns gonna bomb hard compared to XIII and even XIII-2.

3DS, PSV and Wii U wil rule this holiday season in Japan. Yes, this year was awful for Wii U, but games and bundles finally here and Nintendo always rising in nov-dec there (you can see the charts from previous years).

 

p.s. Tearaway is a big game for Japan? lol. Many niche titles like Akiba's Trip 2 alot bigger for japanese audience than this western product. Look at japanese LittleBigPlanet Vita sales....