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thismeintiel on 03 November 2013
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Seece said:
thismeintiel said:

Really late to this thread, but better late than never.  Just wanted to make an observation regarding VGC estimates. 

According to my estimates from this thread, at the end of their last fiscal year, Sony had shipped 77.4M-77.7M PS3s.  This was also the last fiscal year where they started to include PS2 numbers with their PS3 numbers, so we know the PS3 has, in fact, shipped 3.1M in the last two quarters.  So, at the end of Sept, Sony has most likely shipped 80.5M-80.8M units.  VGC shows 79.8M units sold to customers, or 700K-1M still on shelves.

Seems to me that VGC tracking is either pretty spot on up until now or just a smidge undertracked.  Either way, I'm not complaining. 

Your estimates are biased though, mine will be too. The only thing anyone should be going on is Sony's fiscal year forecast, which was 13 million. We didn't hear if they missed it, met it, or surpassed it, so the best thing in my opinion is to assume they met it, 13 million straight. This puts them at 80 million.

Biased?  Really? 

I just used the fact that Sony said the PS3 was down YOY, so its max would have been 13.8M, since it shipped 13.9M the previous year.  For the minimum, I just figured that the PS2 had stopped production during that fiscal year, so I highly doubt it was near the 4.1M it shipped the previous year.  Hence, the 3M estimate.  It's not bias, it's using common sense. 

I'm guessing ioi came up with similar numbers, since VGC numbers were changed.