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Nintendo aren't expecting more than 12m this holiday Q, judging by their FY forecast (18m) (which they rarely ever hit anyway, FACT)

So we have

3DS: 16m
WiiU: 5m
Wii: 1.5m
DS: 0.5m??

PS4: 3.5m
PS3: 10m
PSP: 2.5m?
PSV: 3m?

Totals

Nintendo: 23m~
Sony: 19m~

Numbers could sway either way for any console, but it's not a runaway win for either.

Forgot I was doing full year 3DS sales not holiday, so I stand by Nintendo winning!

3DS  = Sony combined is absurd tho.