Why do u believe PS4/One will outsell Wii U by March 31?

[Gamegears]

zorg1000 said:

I believe that both PS4 and One will pass Wii U eventually but I think it is an impossible goal for them to pass it by the end of this fiscal year. Sony plans on shipping 5m units in that time frame and with One launching in less countries and having lower pre-orders, I think its safe to say Microsoft doesnt plan on outshipping them this fiscal year but for the sake of argument lets say they plan on shipping 5m as well.

As of the end of June, Wii U has shipped 3.61m units with only 160k being from this fiscal year. I assume Nintendo has shipped more this quarter due to games like Pikmin 3, Luigi U, Wonderful 101, Scribblenauts, Splinter Cell, Disney Infinity and also a price cut at the end of the qurater to go alongside a new bundle. I think anywhere between 190-290k shipped is a realistic figure putting the total at 3.8-3.9m by the end of September.

Lets fast forward real quick to the last quarter which is Jan-Mar. If by some chance the holiday line up and price cut dont raise the baseline by much and only ships 200-300k this quarter that would bring the total to 4-4.2m shipped. Does anybody truly think that Nintendo will push out less than 800k-1m over the holidays?

From Oct-Dec Nintendo will still be fresh off the price cut and has a strong line up of high quality exclusives like Wind Waker HD, Wii Party U, Sonic Lost World, DKC Tropical Freeze, Wii Fit U, Mario & Sonic Olympics, Wii Sports Club, Mario 3D World and a few big multiplats like Assassins Creed 4, Call of Duty, Watch Dogs, Batman Arkham Origins, Skylanders, Just Dance 2014 which are a nice addition to the big exclusives. Also Nintendo is sure to start a new advertising campaign and retailers will have tons of holiday sales.

I just dont see anyway possible that Nintendo doesnt ship over 5m by the end of Mar, can anyone offer me a logical reason why they feel PS4/One will be able to pass it by then?

Because their fan boys and they want it to.. that is the only reason they need... actually.. I do see the PS4 doing better lifetime sells.. (I still say One finishes third though) and because they are also ignoring certain things... for Instance.. the Wii U.. (Much ado to Zelda and W101 as well as Pikmen and a few other titles I believe) has risen to it's highest ranking On Amazon.. The 32 GB version was ranked 546 at one time.. and went up to 104.. (Which is impressive considering Amazon themsleves don't even sell the Wii U) The 8GB edition went up from a lowly 3-5 thousand spot up to 756... the Zombie U Bundle went up from 15- 20 thousand up to 5 Thousand and something.. now normally this would be not of note.. except for the fact that the Wii U has not went down to their previous levels yet.. and does not seem to be returning any time soon... (And this was before the announced Price cut took place) So Wii U is selling strongly now.. (Of other notes.. Monster Hunter Ultimate went up to 664.. from a normal range of 10 to 15 thousand and other third party games are seeing similar jumps) So Ps4 outselling Wii U by March 31st... not likely... Wii U will probably be 6-8 million strong by the end of this year.. Sony is only shipping 5 Million.. hell it might be the middle to end of next year before the PS4 catches up and surpasses the Wii U.. and this is only if the people are willing to pay 400 dollars for a system... because by the time PS4 launches the Wii U will have enough games to make it worth it's going price..