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At a glance, it looks like Just Dance 3 could make it. It sold over 200k last December (almost 300k Nov+Dec), and has sold over 10k every month this year so far. As for how it could do this Holiday, last year Just Dance 2 sold about 90k in Nov+Dec. So with similar numbers, JD3 could rack up over 100k by the end of the year. Then it'll be within 20k of 10 mil... it could happen.