The Wii U sales will pick up over the coming 7 or 8 months but not nearly as much as many believe-
Nintendo has shown a reluctance to invest the effort and resources needed to launch a console in todays gaming market- My prediction is 18.5 million for effective lifetime sales (sales until the next Nintendo home console is launched or the Wii U is taken off the market)
I own a Wii U (bought for my 7 year old Son) We loved his Wii (bought when he was 4) and He still plays Wii games far more than Wii U games- There just are not that many quality games on the Wii U - As of today Nintendo has finally released all of the games I had assumed he would be able to begin playing between the releases date and March+/- 2013 It has taken them nearly a year to deliver the games THEY announced and advertised for launch-
IMO the reason we are not seeing a Metroid or 3D Mario Galaxy type game this holiday/next spring are due to the resources it takes to make those type games vs making a 2d Donkey Kong game and a port more or less of a 3DS game- Nintendo has the resources to invest in the console, games and marketing for the Wii U but they have clearly not been willing to invest them-
I think the big question for the wii U is what happened after Spring+/- 2014? 3rd party devs will be even more scarce than they have been so far- for good reason (they lose money releasing games on the Wii U) -
My question to the forum is: Will the Wii U see a new Zelda game at all? I think it is 50/50 they will decide to "delay" the next new Zelda game until their next home console
Unless The BOD of Nintendo directs/mandates Corporate to spend the money needed to give the Wii U a fighting chance for success or their is some kind of major Mngmt shake up- then the Wii U will be lucky to break 20 mill lifetime sales- as I predict 18.5 million lifetime sales, I don t think either of the 2 scenarios are likely during the Wii U s effective life span
Nintendo can easily absorb the losses from the Wii U- but the problem they do not see is the credibility they continue to lose among its long time fans- they will listen to the vocal minority that defend Nintendo no matter what - the ones that will slam this post and similar post, stories and view points- but it is pretty clear that group of "Nintendo is always the victim" is a shrinking group and they open their wallet rarely. Many of that group have not even bought a Wii U yet themselves as they are waiting on the games they want- but they will skewer people like me who bought one at launch and are not happy that Nintendo is showing little faith in their own product