If things stay as they are then my prediction is 40 million units tops. If however, Microsoft releases a kinect-less SKU before February 2014(highly unlikely) and prices it below 400$, then they could do better, perhaps 60 million units. A 350 dollar Xbone could at least defend the Xbox brand in its home territories of US and UK, if it arrives soon enough. Timing is very crucial here. If they take too long to address this kinect problem, the PS4 will gain too much momentum and nothing Microsoft does will make a difference at that point.







