Out of those four, I'll go with Tropical Freeze. I don't have a lot of faith in Mario being able to innovate enough to garner much higher than a mid 80, Wind Waker HD is a remake and will get penalized for that, and Sonic Lost World is...well...it's Sonic, and the highest rated Sonic game in recent memory was a high 70. Tropical Freeze may not be much of an innovation in and of itself, but it'll still be a really well done platformer, and I can picture it getting a high 80 and competing with Pikmin 3 for the highest rated Wii U exclusive.