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I agree on your numbers. It's kinda obvious GTA4 will reach 10 million.

GTA4 PS3 5 million = 1.5 million US + 3.5 million the rest of the world
GTA4 Xbox360 6 million = 4 million US + 2 Million the rest of the world

However I believe Wii Fit and SSBB will eventually outsell GTA4, if not this year, certainly next year.