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There are too many factors to call anything at this point. I recently read an old issue of Edge from fall 2005 where the Xbox 360 was described as a Playstation 2.5 in terms of power compared with the PS3 and that the console race was over before it had begun.

We simply don't know how this will actually play out with actual games and actual consumers beyond the hardcore, or what the real world implications will be or what will become the must-have features.

Maybe Kinect 2.0 and voice and gesture control of the UI will capture the zeitgeist, or maybe Sony or Microsoft will release must-have, generation-defining game of some kind.