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richardhutnik on 27 August 2013
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gum said:

Soundwave you make a lot of baseless claims: what are the proofs exactly that games like Wii Sports or Wii Fit won't sell extremely well? What are the proofs that casual gamers won't buy any new consoles when the right games will be released? I don't see any. It's like people assuming handhelds and 3DS especially were dead because of smartphones and that didn't happen. Now games like AC or Tomodatchi for example even sell really well to the casual gamers that the same people assumed will never buy such a device anymore. And in fact smartphones and tablets were competing much more directly with handhelds that they are with consoles: if you want to play Wii Fit or Wii sports you certainly can't do that on such devices. So there is really nothing to back up your assertions.

I still think WiiU will dominate next gen: Nintendo has sold 100 millions consoles with very little support for hardcore games from third parties and there is no reason for this to happen again this time at least certainly not in the same extend. Even if WS and WF don't sell as well as the previous iterrations of these series this is a huge difference. The WiiU line up this fall is also by far the best one of all three console and 2014 is also at least as impressive.

Normally, casual buyers are not the core market.  The core market is what makes up early adopters and they buy early.  YES, you can end up showing casuals buying early, as with the Wii.  But, if buying early matters, wouldn't they have bought the Wii U?  They haven't.  As it is now, following sales trends, as they are now, the Wii U isn't showing signs of turning it around (despite having a Mario released with it).  It would be your job to argue the Wii U to dominate to show WHAT titles or features will make the Wii U dominate.  What do you see it as be?  What is out there that will capture the casual market?