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For a while, my feeling towards launch lineups was that MS was hitting it out of the park (not for my taste, really, but for the general public), and Sony was dropping the ball (mediocre Knack and mediocre driveclub). While I still feel like Sony has dropped the ball in many ways other than inFAMOUS SS (which looks amazing) and Killzone, MS's lineup isn't as strong as I initially thought.

Forza is still a big launch game, and Dead Rising 3 looks like it could end up pretty good; but, Ryse looks terrible, and it was just announced that Killer Instinct will be releasing with only 6 characters and w/o a story mode (did I also hear right that there will be no online mode?). One thing that does remain a big deal, though, is the XBO exclusive content in COD & BF4. Free Fifa in Europe is also fairly big, and Sony would be extremely stupid to not make a similar bundle (even a $450 bundle where they're not losing any money).

The recent news of inFAMOUS SS releasing nearly at the launch window is another big thing making games comparisons seem a bit more even.
If were talking outside the launch, Titanfall will be a massive game for XBO-no denying it.

Overall, I think as we get closer to launch, ppl will see more and more that neither launch lineup is that great. XBO probably does have the edge still, but not by very much.