The PS4 Will Fail at converting Xbox fans..

[fps_d0minat0r]

I agree. Some people stuck with microsoft even before the one eighty. Theres a limit on the percentage of fans you can possibly convert.

I still think PS4 will outsell XB1 (including converted players) though and heres why:
1) will have same amount of great exclusives as PS3 did
2) it wont take a hit on the 3rd party games and wont be inferior to xbox version like most 3rd party PS3 games were. Also exclusives will make the most of GDDR5.
3) it wont be 1 year late to the party like the PS3 was
4) it wont cost more than the xbox like PS3 did
5) its launching in more places than xbox.
6) PS+ is better value than XBL, and you dont need to subscribe to use all features. even some f2p games can be played without PS+.
7) the money from PS+ will go into improving the infrastructure.
8) xbox one wont have as many re-purchases as Xbox 360 did (yeah yeah, i know they were eventually covered by a guarantee, but a lot of people still repurchased new ones in the first year)
9) PS4 wont be limited by RAM so if Xbox has a feature, sony can have it too. (unlike when PS3 missed out on cross game chat)
10) PS4 will be very easy to program because of its similarities to a PC, forget about the days when indie games came late to the PS3...or didnt show up at all.

I simply cant see halo, a better controller (how?), and peoples perception of XBL v PSN being an issue. I still think that XBL v PSN perception is more to do with justifying the fee rather than the service itself.

The only thing from last gen I can see being similar to next gen is how a lot of people will buy an xbox first but eventually get a playstation too.