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Since the Democrats beat the GOP in 2006 because the average American voter didn't like Bush and his war and things have gotten worse (know the economy is also downing sour), the Democrats should win again.

Maybe Ron Paul could have won, but McCain is not likely. There is still a chance McCain could beat Hillary but I doubt he could beat Obama. You see, conservatives don't seem to like McCain because he is not a conservative so I don't think he can bring out the base in huge numbers (same thing happened in 2006). He has a lot of support from independents, but Obama has even more support from Independents and liberals and socialists (the Democratic base) actually like him.

Not only will Obama likely beat McCain (if nominated) but the country will continue to elect more and more Democrats to state and congressional offices (a trend that started because of how unpopular Bush and his policies were).



 

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