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colafitte said:

Playstation 2 launched in Japan on March 4 2000. Ps2 shipments for fiscal year ending March 31 2000 was 1'41 million units. Later it launched in USA in October, and Europe and Australia in November 2000. PS2 reached 10'61 millions units shipped at 31 March 2001 shipping 9'20 millions units in Fiscal Year 2001 In the next Fiscal Year Ps2 shipped 18'07 units.

PS4 will sell much more at launch, but the question is, if it will be capable or reach ps2 levels in its second year

At 400$/€ Sony is definitely aiming to quickly gain installed units and make profits with game sales/subscriptions, so I think Sony will target above 10 million in shipments for 2014, but 15m+ would be extremely ambitious, as they never shipped that many PS3s in a FY.