How far off are we from photo-realistic graphics in gaming? 10 years?

[tonymarraffa]

Cubedramirez said:
Considering the leap we've seen in the past 10 years I am going to be very optimistic and say we'll see that quality in less than ten years. The hardware and the talent is already in place. We've seen skin texture that absorb surrounding light instead of reflect like plastic, dynamic lighting that works in a sandbox environment so not only the models on screen look amazing but we have a world where our eyes believe we're looking through a window.

I offer Final Fantasy 15 as an example of a title that may be taking some advantage of the next gen hardware no matter what they accomplish they are coming from the position of being just recently removed from the previous hardware generation. Just think about the potential, what we're seeing now is just the tip of the iceberg.

Hell, just take a look at the 360 and ps3 launch titles to see how far we've come.
Anyone remember Kameo?
How about Madden 2007?

Go look them up and be disgusted.

I think Kameo is one of the few launch titles to hold up very well nowadays.