| tuscaniman99 said: Well If nobody believes the preorder charts then why is everyone singing the praises of how well Killzone:Shadows Fall and some other PS4 games are doing? I'm just saying if the preorder charts are completely wrong and I mean COMPLETELY then 4 : 1 is possible but if the the charts are even remotely accurate then 2 : 1 at most. |
Even if the pre-order charts were 100% accurate it wouldn't make 4 to 1 impossible. Let's consider a few things. First, Call of Duty and Battlefield are the only two XOne titles in the Top 40. For the PS4 there are five with Watch Dogs, Killzone, Call of Duty, Battlefield, and Assassin's Creed. Adding up all of those current pre-orders puts the total PS4 games in the top 40 at over 600,000 while the XOne games are only over 190,000. That's a 3 to 1 difference in pre-order totals of next gen titles in the Top 40. It could be even more than that if we got to see all pre-orders.
The number of people buying Call of Duty for the XOne could be a significant percentage. After all, the Xbox One reveal event showcased the game for 10 minutes out of a 1 hour presentation and it's quite easy to see how multiplatform games would get higher numbers on the platforms they were promoted on at big events. Watch Dogs is a pretty good example of that. Not to mention that Xbox is generally recognized, accurate or not, as the Call of Duty platform. It is the only XOne title that appears to be close at all to its PS4 counterpart.
It's not as simple as comparing the highest pre-order titles for each platform or comparing where the versions of the same game stand against each other. We also don't know how many people bought multiple titles to start. If PS4 owners are typically only picking up one or two games per console whereas XOne owners grab three or more, or vice versa, that would certainly throw off the predictions. There are too many variables for game pre-order charts to give us any accurate idea of the gap between the platforms no matter how accurate the charts are. All that can be said is how the individual titles stack up to one another and how many more game pre-orders one console is getting compared to another. It is still very much possible we're looking at such a gap in platform sales but I'm going to guess it will have more to do with the fact that the PS4 has been keeping its stock up while XOne seems to be struggling.
EDIT: Should also probably take into account the people who have pre-ordered a console but not any games. Three of my friends have done this. They paid off their pre-orders but aren't pre-ordering any games because they either expect plenty of games to be available on launch day or because they're undecided which games they're getting.
