|
aurelounet said: Yes, math doesn't work like that. Now your assumption is not absolutely correct as you don't take into account the increase of subscribers during the year. So, the 2.5 millions of accounts you are taking for granted in 2012 is an average over 2012 and not the number they really had at the end of the year, wich is the number interresting us. During the sony conference at E3, they announced that their number of accounts increased by 144%. So if true, that means that the PS+ accounts were 144% more on 01/01/2013 than on 01/01/2012
so : 5000000 = 1 X + 2.44 X x (the number of accounts on 01/01/2012) = 1.45 millions and 2.44 X (the number of accounts they might have on 01/01/2013) = 3.55 millions By now, they might have around 5 millions accounts if the increase is the same, or 4 if it's slowind down. Actually, I don't really care, but I do love mathematics. |
Where does the 5,000,000 in your equation come from? I agree with your numbers (except I got 3.64 million), but I did it like this
$140,000,000 = $50 * x + $18 * 244 % * x
giving 1.49 million for the beginning and 3.64 million for the end. I believe we did the same thing, I just got confused for a minute when you used 5,000,000. Thanks for the % increase Sony said. That is a little more useful than pure speculation. And it shows that a 3 million user base estimate isn't that far off.
