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Yeah, I get that part, but I think most projections are pointing to the fact that even if the Xbox 360 ends up coming in third, it will be a smaller margin than it was with the original Xbox vs. the PS2, right?  So I would think developers would consider it a very bad move financially to stop developing for the 360 just because it lost some war that largely gets fought on web forums anyway. 

For example, looking at the predictions you've made, the PS3 will outsell the 360 by 6 million units at the end of the generation.  I don't think developers would stop making games for a platform based on that small of a difference.  And Microsoft certainly has the money to keep paying to get great exclusives. 

Am I wrong on any of that?