| danasider said:
The PSP, a handheld from last generation that came in second place, is tracking ahead of Vita worldwide. The Vita has less than 15% marketshare of this generation of handhelds! Handheld sales overall are down, because of the proliferation of the smart phone. CoD Vita (as shitty as it was, it's still a huge brand) couldn't sell game or console units, because people aren't interested in playing a moblile PS. These are the things you should be looking at among others when making a stand on the OP, not stating the opposite of what you and many others believe solely for the sake of disagreeing with someone who typically makes outlandish statements. It's like disagreeing with him for saying the sky is blue just because he said the Wii was doomed. Sure he was dead wrong about the latter, but that doesn't change that he is correct about the former. For an average of 12 hours each day, he's right! You and everyone else disagreeing for disagreement's sake might as well be denying the sky is blue. And I am not saying Vita being dead in the water is as true as the sky being blue. Nothing is set in stone when it comes to consoles, and Sony may end up making its money over a (very) long life cycle and/or if they pricecut and push it with bundles, software support, etc. So far, all that is speculation just like saying the Vita is dead. My sky scenario was simply illustrating that posing the argument (that something is not true simply because a person claims it to be true) while disregarding the data surrounding that actual premise is plain bad logic. It's counterintuitive on a website that is about dissemination of sales data. If you believe the PS Vita will make a comeback, I'd prefer to read well-articulated data or precedent based statements than diving into a sea of hate posts on a guy for stating what appears to be obvious. Your opinion is still valid because opinions are subjective, but the logic used to arrive at the opinion isn't sound. No offense or vitriol meant by me, but that's just my perception of all these similar posts that do nothing to intelligently argue the OP. |
Michael Pachter I'm sure is a decent financial adviser and what have you, but when it comes to making predictions in the videogame industry - I don't feel his guesses are any more legitimate than any random person on the forums and the margin of error is probably the same. Economics is a science, and Michael Pachter knows a thing or two about it, but it's not a science of guessing. You could use the principles of economics to form an educated guess, but at the end of the day - that's all it is. And saying all that- Michael Pachter makes a lot of guesses, often times sprinkling some "no shit" notions with wild speculation. And yes, I tend to disagree with many of the things Pachter says, but I don't disagree with fact. If he told me, "The sky is blue", I'd believe him and if he told me, "The Vita is a failure" or "the Wii U is not doing well", I'd also believe him.
But when he makes a comment like "The Vita is dead, it's over." or saying "The WIi is doomed" - statements that are so over the top and dismissive of any other possible outcome- that I have to disagree with it out of sensibility because there's no way to know for sure, especially considering all the variables. Those are the wild speculations - and his track record aren't great on those.
And I hate to be the guy defending the Vita - I don't even own one. I was the guy who thought the Vita was dead on arrival, but hearing about the PS4 functionality made me think there's a slight chance of a second wind. Pachter saying otherwise makes me believe it more, because I know the outcomes of a lot of other predictions he's made. And again- that's not saying he's always wrong - compared to some other industry analysts- he's doing pretty well.
