Could the Wii finish 2nd in every region despite leading in total sales?

[S.Peelman]

pezus said:

S.Peelman said:
No, not every region.

USA will most likely be taken by the 360 yes, but Europe is already a big maybe. If the PS3's legs drop off next year Wii could still hang on ever so slightly. I'd say it's a 50/50 chance. I think there's no chance in Japan, Wii will keep it's lead relatively easily.

The fact that all this has even become a question is amazing in itself though .

Europe really is a no-brainer, though. It will happen this year or early next year. PS3 is already ahead by 1.5m this year. Even if we assume the drop will be pretty large for PS3 YOY (-25%), it would sell over 4m this year or over 2m more from here. Wii will continue to die quickly and probably sell another 600k from here this year. This means at worst we would see Wii being ahead by 500k by the end of the year. And since this is Playstation we are talking about, it will inevitably sell way more than that in Europe next year and beyond while Wii will practically be dead.

Yeah that's true. I agree it all depends on how fast PS3 would drop and how much of a success PS4 is. I'll give you a 75/25 then .